2022 MO Senate Race2022 MO Senate Race

The 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri will be held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. senators and elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Missouri.

On March 8, 2021, incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt announced that he would not seek reelection to a third term in office. The primaries will be held on Tuesday, August 2.

China becomes the first flashpoint of Missouri GOP Senate primary

Summary

The 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri will be held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. senators and elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Missouri.

On March 8, 2021, incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt announced that he would not seek reelection to a third term in office. The primaries will be held on Tuesday, August 2.

News

China becomes the first flashpoint of Missouri GOP Senate primary

About

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[93]Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[94]Solid RApril 1, 2022
Sabato’s Crystal Ball[95]Likely RJune 15, 2022
Politico[96]Likely RApril 1, 2022
RCP[97]Lean RMarch 6, 2022
Fox News[98]Likely RMay 12, 2022
538[99]Likely RJune 30, 2022

Web

Wikipedia

Trudy Busch Valentine

Trudy Busch Valentine

Current Position: Nurse
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 US Senator

Wikipedia

For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2022 Missouri State Senate election.

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Mayoral elections

The 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri will be held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. senators and elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Missouri. Incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt first elected in 2010 filled the seat of retiring Kit Bond and was re-elected in 2016. On March 8, 2021, it was announced that Blunt would not seek reelection to a third term in office.[1][2] The primaries were held on Tuesday, August 2.[3]

Missouri Attorney General Eric Schmitt and Anheuser-Busch heiress Trudy Busch Valentine won their respective primaries in Republican and Democratic parties to succeed Blunt. John Wood, a former Bush administration official and a January 6 commission investigator, is running as an independent.

Republican primary

U.S. Representative Vicky Hartzler was endorsed by Missouri Senator Josh Hawley and finished second.

Former governor Eric Greitens attempted to restart his political career, but finished third.

U.S. Representative Billy Long failed to gain traction and finished a distant fourth.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Missed filing deadline

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

The day before the primary, former president Donald Trump released a statement endorsing “ERIC”. There are three candidates with the first name Eric running in the Republican primary: Eric Greitens, Eric McElroy, and Eric Schmitt. Trump’s statement did not offer any clarification on whether this was an endorsement for one or multiple candidates, and when reached for comment by NBC News, Trump’s office declined to clarify the endorsement, saying it “speaks for itself”.[35][36] However, Politico reported it as an endorsement for both Greitens and Schmitt, as Trump had apparently expressed indecision on which of the two men to back before a dual endorsement was suggested; he separately contacted both candidates to pledge his support, and both subsequently claimed the endorsement as being for them.[37]

Eric Greitens
Federal officials
Individuals
Organizations
Vicky Hartzler
Federal officials
Individuals
Organizations
Eric Schmitt
Federal officials
State officials
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations

Debates

DateHostModeratorLink(s)Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Eric
Greitens		Vicky
Hartzler		Billy
Long		Mark
McCloskey		Dave
Schatz		Eric
Schmitt
May 31, 2022Greene County Republicans[64]Ginger Gooch
Darrell Moore		AAPPPA

Polling

Graphical summary
Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Eric
Greitens		Vicky
Hartzler		Billy
Long		Mark
McCloskey		Dave
Schatz		Eric
Schmitt		Other
[a]		Margin
Real Clear PoliticsJuly 21 – 24, 2022July 26, 202219.0%24.5%7.0%5.0%2.5%33.0%9.0%Schmitt +8.5
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens		Vicky
Hartzler		Billy
Long		Mark
McCloskey		Dave
Schatz		Eric
Schmitt		OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)July 31 – August 1, 20221,078 (LV)± 2.9%21%18%5%5%3%34%–15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]July 27–28, 2022818 (LV)± 3.4%18%22%6%5%5%34%2%8%
co/efficient (R)[B]July 27, 2022891 (LV)± 3.3%17%16%–––28%––
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 2022787 (LV)± 4.2%20%13%8%4%3%28%4%21%
Emerson CollegeJuly 21–23, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%16%21%5%4%2%33%1%[c]17%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]July 23–24, 2022802 (LV)± 3.4%18%25%8%4%3%32%–10%
The Trafalgar Group (R)July 22–24, 20221,059 (LV)± 2.9%20%24%7%5%2%27%–16%
The Tarrance Group (R)[C]July 5–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%16%24%6%4%4%28%–18%
The Trafalgar Group (R)June 28–30, 20221,072 (LV)± 2.9%24%24%6%3%4%23%–17%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]June 22–23, 2022911 (LV)± 3.1%20%19%8%5%2%25%–21%
Emerson CollegeJune 2–5, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%26%16%8%4%0%20%1%[d]27%
The Trafalgar Group (R)May 16–18, 20221,065 (LV)± 2.9%26%23%9%3%3%19%–17%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 2022642 (LV)± 5.0%26%11%7%2%2%17%7%[e]28%
Remington Research (R)[D]May 11–12, 2022945 (LV)± 3.0%21%23%–––29%10%17%
co/efficient (R)[E]May 2–4, 2022806 (LV)± 3.5%26%19%7%5%2%14%–27%
NMB Research (R)[F]April 6–7, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%23%20%7%3%2%25%20%–
OnMessage Inc. (R)[G]April 4–6, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%22%23%11%5%2%16%–21%
The Trafalgar Group (R)March 24–29, 20221,079 (LV)± 3.0%24%25%8%2%3%22%–16%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]March 22–23, 2022941 (LV)± 3.1%21%19%9%5%3%24%–19%
The Trafalgar Group (R)February 22–24, 20221,026 (LV)± 3.0%31%17%6%5%2%23%3%15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]February 16–17, 2022917 (LV)± 3.1%25%18%8%5%2%22%–20%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]January 26–27, 2022902 (LV)± 3.1%28%19%7%5%1%23%–17%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[G]January 2022– (LV)–30%16%9%6%1%16%–23%
CMA Strategies (R)[H]January 2022400 (LV)± 5.0%27%12%6%4%1%15%–36%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]December 1–2, 2021744 (LV)± 3.4%27%16%7%4%3%24%–19%
NMB Research (R)[F]December 2021– (LV)–34%––––17%49%–
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]October 20–21, 2021806 (LV)± 3.2%27%19%8%4%–25%–17%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[E]October 3–5, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%36%10%6%4%–17%1%[f]25%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]September 8–9, 2021847 (LV)± 3.2%27%17%8%5%–28%–15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]August 4–5, 2021911 (LV)± 3.0%27%13%12%9%–24%–15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]June 9–10, 20211,011 (LV)± 3.0%34%14%–7%–25%–20%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]March 24–25, 20211,041 (LV)± 3.0%36%–14%––30%–20%
40%––––39%–21%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Roy
Blunt		John
Brunner		Eric
Greitens		Vicky
Hartzler		Billy
Long		Eric
Schmitt		Jason
Smith		Ann
Wagner		Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]March 24–25, 20211,041 (LV)± 3.0%–2%31%8%6%18%9%12%14%
–10%38%––30%––22%
––36%––29%16%–19%
––38%––26%–18%18%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[E]March 23–25, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%––48%––11%7%9%26%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]December 2–3, 2020840 (LV)± 3.4%43%–32%–––––25%

Results

Results by county:

  Schmitt
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Hartzler
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Greitens
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[65]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Eric Schmitt 298,852 45.7
RepublicanVicky Hartzler144,46922.1
RepublicanEric Greitens123,98218.9
RepublicanBilly Long32,5555.0
RepublicanMark McCloskey19,5053.0
RepublicanDave Schatz7,4941.1
RepublicanPatrick A. Lewis6,0700.9
RepublicanCurtis D. Vaughn3,4460.5
RepublicanEric McElroy2,7970.4
RepublicanRobert Allen2,1070.3
RepublicanC. W. Gardner2,0380.3
RepublicanDave Sims1,9430.3
RepublicanBernie Mowinsk1,5990.2
RepublicanDeshon Porter1,5730.2
RepublicanDarrell Leon McClanahan III1,1350.2
RepublicanRickey Joiner1,0810.2
RepublicanRobert Olson1,0760.2
RepublicanDennis Lee Chilton7540.1
RepublicanRussel Pealer Breyfogle Jr.6830.1
RepublicanKevin C. Schepers6790.1
RepublicanHartford Tunnell6360.1
Total votes654,474 100.0

Democratic primary

AELP national security director Lucas Kunce led in fundraising, but finished second.

College professor Gena Ross finished fifth.

As the Democratic primary progressed, three main contenders emerged; Lucas Kunce, director of national security at the American Economic Liberties Project, Spencer Toder, a businessman, and Trudy Busch Valentine, heiress of the Anheuser-Busch brewing company.[66] Kunce and Toder both campaigned as anti-establishment populists, whereas Valentine campaigned in a staid manner with few public appearances.[66]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Lucas Kunce
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State legislators
  • Rasheen Aldridge Jr., state representative for Missouri’s 78th district (2019–present)[86]
  • Michael Johnson, state representative for Missouri’s 23rd district (2021–present)[86]
  • Wes Shoemyer, state senator for Missouri’s 18th district (2007–2011) and state representative for Missouri’s 9th district (2001–2007)[87]
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers and publications
Trudy Busch Valentine
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State legislators
  • Marlon Anderson, state representative for Missouri’s 76th district (2021–present)[86]
  • Lauren Arthur, state senator for Missouri’s 17th district (2018–present) and state representative for Missouri’s 18th district (2015–2018)[86]
  • Ashley Aune, state representative for Missouri’s 14th district (2021–present)[86]
  • Donna Baringer, state representative for Missouri’s 82nd district (2017–present)[86]
  • Doug Beck, state senator for Missouri’s 1st district (2021–present) and state representative for Missouri’s 92nd district (2017–2021)[86]
  • Steve Butz, state representative for Missouri’s 81st district (2019–present)[86]
  • Keri Ingle, state representative for Missouri’s 35th district (2019–present)[86]
  • Jill Schupp, state senator for Missouri’s 24th district (2015–present) and nominee for Missouri’s 2nd congressional district in 2020[86]
  • Scott Sifton, state senator for Missouri’s 1st district (2013–2021) and state representative for Missouri’s 96th district (2011–2013)[67]
  • Ian Mackey, state representative for Missouri’s 87th district (2019–present)[86]
  • Tracy McCreery, state representative for Missouri’s 88th district (2015–present) and 83rd district (2012–2013)[86]
  • Wes Rogers, state representative for Missouri’s 18th district (2019–present)[86]
Local officials

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Lucas
Kunce		Spencer
Toder		Trudy Busch
Valentine		Carla “Coffee”
Wright		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 2022547 (LV)± 5.6%14%3%40%6%9%[g]28%
Emerson CollegeJuly 21–23, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%35%3%39%1%1%[h]22%
Triton Polling & Research (D)[I]May 2022~544 (LV)± 4.2%19%24%26%––31%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 2022500 (LV)± 5.0%10%3%8%3%12%[i]63%
Public Policy Polling (D)[J]April 13–14, 2022546 (LV)± 4.2%25%–18%––56%

Results

Results by county:

Busch Valentine
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Kunce/Toder tie
  •   <40%
Kunce
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results[65]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Trudy Busch Valentine 158,583 43.2
DemocraticLucas Kunce140,95338.4
DemocraticSpencer Toder17,4124.7
DemocraticCarla Coffee Wright14,3913.9
DemocraticGena Ross8,7152.4
DemocraticJewel Kelly6,4431.8
DemocraticLewis Rolen5,2281.4
DemocraticPat Kelly4,9881.4
DemocraticRonald (Ron) William Harris4,0631.1
DemocraticJosh Shipp3,3250.9
DemocraticClarence (Clay) Taylor3,3190.9
Total votes367,420 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Jonathan Dine, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012 and 2016[7]

Results

Libertarian primary results[65]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Jonathan Dine 2,952 100.0
Total votes2,952 100.0

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Constitution primary results[65]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Constitution Paul Venable 712 100.0
Total votes712 100.0

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Thomas Schneider, former mayor of Florissant (2011–2019) (endorsed Schatz and Valentine)[98][99]

Endorsements

John Wood
Federal officials

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[102]Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[103]Solid RJuly 1, 2022
Sabato’s Crystal Ball[104]Safe RAugust 2, 2022
Politico[105]Likely RApril 1, 2022
RCP[106]Likely RAugust 3, 2022
Fox News[107]Likely RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[108]Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538[109]Solid RJuly 20, 2022

Endorsements

Eric Schmitt (R)
Federal officials
State officials
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Trudy Busch Valentine (D)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State legislators
  • Marlon Anderson, state representative for Missouri’s 76th district (2021–present)[86]
  • Lauren Arthur, state senator for Missouri’s 17th district (2018–present) and state representative for Missouri’s 18th district (2015–2018)[86]
  • Ashley Aune, state representative for Missouri’s 14th district (2021–present)[86]
  • Donna Baringer, state representative for Missouri’s 82nd district (2017–present)[86]
  • Doug Beck, state senator for Missouri’s 1st district (2021–present) and state representative for Missouri’s 92nd district (2017–2021)[86]
  • Steve Butz, state representative for Missouri’s 81st district (2019–present)[86]
  • Keri Ingle, state representative for Missouri’s 35th district (2019–present)[86]
  • Jill Schupp, state senator for Missouri’s 24th district (2015–present) and nominee for Missouri’s 2nd congressional district in 2020[86]
  • Scott Sifton, state senator for Missouri’s 1st district (2013–2021) and state representative for Missouri’s 96th district (2011–2013)[67]
  • Ian Mackey, state representative for Missouri’s 87th district (2019–present)[86]
  • Tracy McCreery, state representative for Missouri’s 88th district (2015–present) and 83rd district (2012–2013)[86]
  • Wes Rogers, state representative for Missouri’s 18th district (2019–present)[86]
Local officials
Organizations
John Wood (I)
Federal officials

Polling

Eric Schmitt vs. Trudy Busch Valentine
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Eric
Schmitt (R)		Trudy Busch
Valentine (D)		John
Wood (I)		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 20221,591 (LV)± 3.0%36%30%9%6%18%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 20221,412 (LV)± 3.2%47%34%––19%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]April 27–28, 2022986 (LV)± 3.0%50%32%––18%
Hypothetical polling
Eric Greitens vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens (R)		Lucas
Kunce (D)		John
Wood (I)		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 20221,591 (LV)± 3.0%31%26%13%10%21%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 20221,412 (LV)± 3.2%42%36%––22%
The Trafalgar Group (R)March 9–13, 20221,075 (LV)± 3.0%46%45%––9%
co/efficient (R)[B]December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%34%26%––40%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[E]October 3–4, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%40%––13%
Eric Greitens vs. Trudy Busch Valentine
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens (R)		Trudy Busch
Valentine (D)		John
Wood (I)		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 20221,591 (LV)± 3.0%31%31%10%8%20%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 20221,412 (LV)± 3.2%43%37%––20%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]April 27–28, 2022986 (LV)± 3.0%46%37%––17%
Vicky Hartzler vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Vicky
Hartzler (R)		Lucas
Kunce (D)		John
Wood (I)		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 20221,591 (LV)± 3.0%34%25%12%9%20%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 20221,412 (LV)± 3.2%45%31%––24%
The Trafalgar Group (R)March 9–13, 20221,075 (LV)± 3.0%56%39%––5%
co/efficient (R)[B]December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%23%16%––61%
Vicky Hartzler vs. Trudy Busch Valentine
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Vicky
Hartzler (R)		Trudy Busch
Valentine (D)		John
Wood (I)		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 20221,591 (LV)± 3.0%32%31%9%7%21%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 20221,412 (LV)± 3.2%44%33%––23%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]April 27–28, 2022986 (LV)± 3.0%49%33%––18%
Billy Long vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Billy
Long (R)		Lucas
Kunce (D)		Undecided
co/efficient (R)[B]December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%16%17%67%
Eric Schmitt vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Eric
Schmitt (R)		Lucas
Kunce (D)		John
Wood (I)		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSAJuly 24–27, 20221,591 (LV)± 3.0%37%27%10%6%20%
SurveyUSAMay 11–15, 20221,412 (LV)± 3.2%46%34%––19%
The Trafalgar Group (R)March 9–13, 20221,075 (LV)± 3.0%55%40%––5%
co/efficient (R)[B]December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%28%23%––49%
Eric Greitens vs. Lucas Kunce vs. generic independent
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens (R)		Lucas
Kunce (D)		Generic
Independent		Undecided
Bendixen & Amandi International (SAM)[K]February 2–6, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%27%25%26%22%
Eric Greitens vs. Jay Nixon
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens (R)		Jay
Nixon (D)		Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]July 14–15, 2021922 (LV)± 3.0%48%44%8%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]April 7–8, 2021936 (LV)± 3.0%48%44%8%
Eric Greitens vs. Scott Sifton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens (R)		Scott
Sifton (D)		Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)March 9–13, 20221,075 (LV)± 3.0%45%45%10%
co/efficient (R)[B]December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%39%26%35%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[E]October 3–4, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%46%40%14%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]April 7–8, 2021936 (LV)± 3.0%49%42%9%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]February 17–18, 2021954 (LV)± 3.0%49%41%10%
Eric Greitens vs. generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Eric
Greitens (R)		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[L]November 16–18, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%49%36%15%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[E]October 3–4, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%41%12%
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Generic
Republican		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
co/efficient (R)[B]December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%52%35%13%
Vicky Hartzler vs. Scott Sifton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Vicky
Hartzler (R)		Scott
Sifton (D)		Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)March 9–13, 20221,075 (LV)± 3.0%57%37%6%
co/efficient (R)[B]December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%22%17%61%
Billy Long vs. Scott Sifton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Billy
Long (R)		Scott
Sifton (D)		Undecided
co/efficient (R)[B]December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%13%12%75%
Eric Schmitt vs. Jay Nixon
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Eric
Schmitt (R)		Jay
Nixon (D)		Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]April 7–8, 2021936 (LV)± 3.0%50%42%8%
Eric Schmitt vs. Scott Sifton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Eric
Schmitt (R)		Scott
Sifton (D)		Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)March 9–13, 20221,075 (LV)± 3.0%54%40%6%
co/efficient (R)[B]December 16–17, 20211,210 (LV)± 4.2%23%18%60%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]April 7–8, 2021936 (LV)± 3.0%51%39%10%
Roy Blunt vs. Jason Kander
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Roy
Blunt (R)		Jason
Kander (D)		Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[M]January 10–12, 2021571 (LV)± 4.1%45%44%12%
Roy Blunt vs. Scott Sifton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[b]		Margin
of error		Roy
Blunt (R)		Scott
Sifton (D)		Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]February 17–18, 2021954 (LV)± 3.0%50%40%10%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A]January 6–7, 2021980 (LV)± 3.0%52%34%14%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Missouri
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanEric Schmitt
DemocraticTrudy Busch Valentine
LibertarianJonathan Dine
ConstitutionPaul Venable
IndependentJohn WoodN/A
Total votes

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Gardner and Tunnell with 1%; Allen, Breyfogle, Joiner, Lewis, McClanahan, Mowinski, Olson, Porter, and Sims with 0%
  4. ^ McElroy, Joiner, and Vaughn with 0%
  5. ^ Allen, Joiner, Lewis, McClanahan, McElroy, Schepers, and Sims with 1%; Breyfogle, Chilton, Gardner, Mowinski, Olson, Porter, Tunnell, and Vaughn with 0%
  6. ^ Deets with 1%; Brinkmann and Porter with 0%
  7. ^ Jewel Kelly, Ross, and all other candidates combined with 3%
  8. ^ Harris, Jewel Kelly, Pat Kelly, Rolen, Ross, Shipp, and Taylor with 0%
  9. ^ Harris, Jewel Kelly, Pat Kelly, Ross, and Taylor with 2%; Rolen and Shipp with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y Non-partisan poll conducted for the local non-partisan tipsheet Missouri Scout
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll conducted for Missouri First Action, which supports Greitens
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Show Me Values PAC, which opposes Greitens
  4. ^ Poll conducted for an undisclosed private client
  5. ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for Eric Greitens’s campaign
  6. ^ a b Poll conducted for Protect Missouri Values PAC, which supports Schmitt
  7. ^ a b Poll conducted for Vicky Hartzler’s campaign
  8. ^ Poll conducted for the Missouri Chamber Political Institute
  9. ^ This poll was conducted for Toder’s campaign
  10. ^ This poll was conducted for Kunce’s campaign
  11. ^ Poll conducted for the Serve America Movement
  12. ^ Poll conducted for Team PAC, which supports Greitens
  13. ^ Poll conducted for MoveOn

References

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External links

Official campaign websites


source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_Senate_election_in_Missouri#Predictions

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2022 MO Senate Race

2022 MO Senate Race

The 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri will be held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. senators and elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Missouri.

On March 8, 2021, incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt announced that he would not seek reelection to a third term in office. The primaries will be held on Tuesday, August 2.

Trudy Busch Valentine

Trudy Busch Valentine

Current Position: Nurse
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 US Senator

Overview: N/A

Eric Schmitt

Eric Schmitt

Current Position: Attorney General since 2019
Affiliation: Republican
Candidate: 2022 US Senator
Former Positions: State Treasurer from 2017 – 2019; State Senator for District 15 from 2009 – 2017

Eric Stephen Schmitt (born June 20, 1975) is an American lawyer and politician who has served as the 43rd attorney general of Missouri since 2019. He is the Republican nominee in the 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri.

2022 US Senate Race

Content on these races will be posted shortly after the summer 2022 primaries are concluded.

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